The Startup Think Tank: How to Avoid the Pownce Effect
Posted August 29, 2008
This is a guest post from Muhammad Saleem, who will be speaking at Startonomics about word-of-mouth marketing on Oct 2.
The rise to fame and fall into relative obscurity of the microblogging site, Pownce, provides us with an almost perfect case study of what to avoid when launching a startup.
Jointly started by the trio of internet-entrepreneurs Kevin Rose, Leah Culver, and Daniel Burka, Pownce was surrounded by a lot of mystery, curiosity, anticipation, and buzz prior to its launch. This buzz, however, wasn’t because the site was going to do something revolutionary and change our lives, rather it was due almost singularly to Kevin Rose’s fame and previous successes with both Digg and Revision3.
The coverage was focused predominantly on the founders and their previous ventures, accepting as fact that the Pownce itself would be a major hit. Both mainstream media as well as internet-pundits declared it to be a hit and even went on the record as saying that they would exclusively use Pownce as their microblogging platform of choice. As you can see, that didn’t stay true for long.
Admittedly, Pownce does have some unique features that other microblogging platforms don’t have or at least didn’t have at launch. Why then, did the service fail to capture the imagination of the masses?
1. The Cult of Personality
Buzz is good when you know you can deliver. Warner Bros. knew what they were doing when they started the viral marketing campaign for The Dark Knight, and they have $900 million to prove it. Buzz can just as quickly work against you. Pownce created a lot of buzz, so much that people were buying and selling invites to the service on eBay. Most of that, however, was perpetuated by the belief that anything Kevin Rose touched would turn to gold. Once people actually got to use the service, many of them realized that it was okay, or even good, but not great.
Oftentimes ‘buzz management’ can be just as important as creating buzz.
2. First Mover Advantage and Network Unportability
What many pundits failed to realize was that Twitter - the service that many compared Pownce to, and which was and remains Pownce’s biggest competitor - had two major advantages. First, Twitter had singlehandedly created and popularized microblogging and in spite of issues with the service was seeing exceptional growth and loyalty. And second, for any microblogging service, just like any other social networking based service, to be successful, it’s not enough to merely get users, you have to get users and their networks to join and use the service. The problem is, it’s impossibly difficult to get entire networks of people to move from one service to another.
That’s exactly what happened. Most people tried Pownce at first but ultimately went back to Twitter because they realized that most of their friends hadn’t made the move with them. People use the services that their friends use, and most people’s friends didn’t move to Pownce.
3. Evolution, not Revolution
While people had great expectations from Pownce, the service was in actuality just an evolution of an existing platform. The features it added were either ones that a majority of people weren’t desperately asking for, or features that Twitter and other sites incorporated via third-party hosting sites. This made Pownce a more comprehensive utility but didn’t give it as much an edge as it did marginal convenience.
4. Artificially Driven Success
What many people also failed to see is that Pownce’s initial success was achieved by promoting the site on Digg (Kevin Rose’s other venture and platform for massive outbound traffic).

The initial momentum that put the site on many people’s radars was artificial and temporary. The sentiments of the community in other words, were summed up as follows:

Ultimately, you can create temporary success by creating pre-launch buzz and artificially driving traffic, but long-term, sustained growth can only be achieved by creating a truly unique and useful product that either creates value by helping users accomplish something (work utility) or provides exceptional entertainment value.








Alan
August 29th, 2008
Hi,
I would like to add a fifth item. And that’s constant innovation. After a launch, one should strive to constantly innovate and provide a useful service.
Regards,
Alan
Owen Byrne
August 29th, 2008
Well, there’s some facts that make the conclusion a little more muddied. For starters, Kevin has only had one success (digg) - just that he spun off diggnation into another business that has had little traction outside that one series (of course there’s no sign of an exit at digg either). Also digg was really just an evolutionary step from del.icio.us - Josh Schacter offered us useful advice while we were growing. Finally digg’s success was at least partially due to Kevin demoing it on the screensavers, so it’s success is just as artificial.
The difference between success and failure is often just luck and timing.
Really, really dumb stuff based on other dumb stuff.
August 29th, 2008
[...] saying really, really stupid stuff (and often getting paid for it). Case in point is a post on some random blog by Muhammed Saleem leading up to some random conference about something called the “Pownce [...]
jj
August 29th, 2008
More often than not the culprit is the media. Journalists seem to think they can write about anything in any field and any topic. That’s why Facebook is so big (although other similar sites existed before), why “web 2.0″ is such a hype word (although its related technology existed in 2000), and why the word “beta” nowadays means nothing (wait, maybe Google should be blamed on this…).
From the beginning, one could see Pownce was a pre-existing idea. Kind of like Twitter actually, which, except for the SMS functionality, could be replaced with RSS feeds of my friends blogs: just have a category for short status messages and you’re done.
However, the media gets crazy with buzz words and hype, and spreads it around, which makes business and VC people even more excited and end up throwing money at stupid and useless stuff. Just like during the dot com bubble. When they realise they’re throwing money down the toilet, there will be a crisis than will shake the whole world’s economy. All because some morons thought pets.com was a multi-billion company.
Another Alan
August 29th, 2008
One other thing to note here (and this is pervasive to the web 2.0 trend): the number of “nerds” online that would even use things like this is very limited (I estimate < 2% of the US population).
Of those, most of the ones that would use this type of thing are already being serviced by Twitter and other web 2.0 services (as you pointed out). Maybe if web 2.0 were designed to help real people do real things, we wouldn’t see this sort of blatant miscommunication between application developers and application users.
As the digg commenter mentioned… Real people would just use email. Great post. Stumbled.
Wedding Celebrant Redcliffe
August 29th, 2008
You’d think with all the support Digg could lend Pownce couldn’t fail. I guess Twitter is a pretty hard act to beat?